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Black Marble
Writer's pictureHarrison Lindman

Market Rally Pauses as Investors Reassess Post-Election Surge


November 12th, 2024


Today, U.S. stocks retreated as the market took a breather from the recent post-election rally that had propelled major indices to record highs. The pullback was accompanied by a surge in Treasury yields and a reassessment of the so-called "Trump trades."


Market Performance

- Dow Jones Industrial Average: Fell 0.9% to close near 43,910, marking its worst day since October 31

- S&P 500: Declined 0.3% to finish around 5,984, snapping a five-session winning streak

- Nasdaq Composite: Dropped less than 0.1%, ending nearly flat at 19,281

- Russell 2000: Experienced a sharp decline of more than 1.8%


Key Factors Driving the Market

1. Profit-Taking: After the recent surge, investors appeared to be cashing in on gains, with Bank of America reporting that exposure to U.S. stocks had reached an 11-year high.


2. Rising Treasury Yields: The 10-year Treasury yield jumped 12.4 basis points to 4.430%, its highest level since July 2, putting pressure on equities.


3. Inflation Concerns: Traders focused on potential inflationary pressures ahead of Wednesday's release of the October Consumer Price Index (CPI) report.


4. Cabinet Speculation: The market pondered the policy implications of President-elect Trump's potential Cabinet picks, including Florida Sen. Marco Rubio as secretary of state.


Notable Stock Movements

- Tesla (TSLA): Shares tumbled more than 6%, reversing recent gains tied to CEO Elon Musk's alliance with the incoming president

- Boeing (BA): Fell over 2.5% due to sharp declines in October production amid worker strikes

- Cryptocurrency-related stocks: Struggled for gains after recent surges, despite Bitcoin approaching the $90,000 mark


The Look Ahead

Everyone now turns their attention to Wednesday's CPI report, which will be closely watched for signs of cooling inflation in line with the Federal Reserve's goals. The market's reaction to this data could set the tone for trading in the coming days.


While the recent rally has been fun to follow, analysts are cautioning that the surge in bullish sentiment could lay the groundwork for further profit-taking. Additionally, concerns about potential inflationary pressures from the incoming fiscal policies may continue to influence market dynamics.


As the dust settles from the election and the market digests recent gains, investors should remain vigilant and prepared for potential volatility in the near term. The interplay between economic data, policy expectations, and corporate earnings will likely drive market sentiment in the weeks ahead.

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